Race 12A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ben Greenfield 28.6% 22.3% 17.8% 11.6% 8.4% 5.4% 3.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
T. Max Bulger 7.0% 9.8% 9.1% 9.3% 10.9% 10.4% 10.9% 11.3% 10.6% 6.3% 3.9% 0.5%
Steven Drapcho 7.8% 7.2% 8.7% 8.8% 8.2% 9.9% 11.7% 12.9% 10.4% 9.6% 4.1% 0.7%
Bradley Milliken 6.9% 9.1% 10.1% 11.2% 11.8% 10.1% 11.0% 9.6% 9.5% 7.0% 2.9% 0.8%
Matthew Schon 13.6% 14.3% 14.3% 13.1% 10.7% 10.3% 8.8% 5.5% 5.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Timothy Scanlon 9.2% 8.8% 8.4% 10.1% 10.5% 13.3% 9.3% 10.0% 9.1% 7.4% 3.0% 0.9%
Conor Lodge 9.3% 9.3% 9.2% 11.1% 11.0% 10.1% 10.8% 10.8% 8.3% 6.0% 2.9% 1.2%
Ryan Byrne 5.9% 6.3% 7.5% 8.3% 7.6% 8.4% 11.7% 11.0% 12.4% 11.2% 7.2% 2.5%
Phoebe Sprague 6.7% 7.5% 8.6% 11.0% 11.2% 11.4% 10.1% 11.7% 10.6% 7.8% 3.1% 0.3%
Christopher Hulse 2.9% 2.6% 4.1% 3.2% 5.4% 6.0% 6.0% 8.2% 12.3% 17.9% 19.5% 11.9%
Chris Mangieri 1.5% 1.4% 1.2% 1.1% 2.5% 3.3% 3.7% 4.9% 6.5% 13.7% 29.6% 30.6%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 0.6% 1.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 3.0% 2.5% 4.1% 9.5% 22.9% 50.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.