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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.09+7.34vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.39+5.20vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+4.52vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.62+2.53vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.13+3.34vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.45+1.19vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.82-1.09vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.12+0.30vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.45-1.91vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.62-3.32vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.07-2.52vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.35+1.37vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.08-1.34vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.74-4.52vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.54-11.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34Old Dominion University2.090.1%1st Place
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7.2Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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6.53Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.34Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.19Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.91Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.3Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.09Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.68Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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13.37Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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11.66University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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9.48Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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3.9Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Ciszewski | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Nathan Sih | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Maks Groom | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Riley Read | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| William Michels | 11.7% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Will Priebe | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Stephanie Houck | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 3.6% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 16.0% | 55.7% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 24.8% | 21.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 6.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 21.9% | 19.2% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.