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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+5.46vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+1.73vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.39+4.31vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.09+4.41vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.45+2.22vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.45+1.15vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.74+2.49vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.62-1.34vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.12-0.77vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.35+3.19vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.08+0.51vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.82-5.85vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.13-4.48vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.07-5.61vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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3.73Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
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7.31Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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8.41Old Dominion University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.22Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.15Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.49Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.66Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.23Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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13.19Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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11.51University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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6.15Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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7.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 23.0% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 2.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 6.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Will Priebe | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 15.0% | 54.4% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 22.4% | 22.5% |
| William Michels | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Riley Read | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Maks Groom | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.