← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College2.45+6.12vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.62+4.39vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.45+4.04vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.82+1.92vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University1.74+4.57vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.39+1.34vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University2.12+1.23vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.54-4.09vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University2.62-2.50vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-2.30vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.07-2.50vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.13-3.47vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University2.09-4.32vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.08-2.50vs Predicted
-
15Northwestern University0.35-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.12Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
-
6.39Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
-
7.04Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
-
5.92Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
-
9.57Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
-
7.34Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
-
8.23Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
-
3.91Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
-
6.5Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
-
7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
-
8.5University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
-
8.53Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
-
8.68Old Dominion University2.090.0%1st Place
-
11.5University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
-
13.07Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Mckenna | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| William Michels | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 7.2% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Will Priebe | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 20.9% | 19.4% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Maks Groom | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Riley Read | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 3.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 2.2% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 24.5% | 20.5% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 15.5% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.