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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.82+4.83vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.07+6.27vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.54+0.81vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.45+3.11vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.62+1.67vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.13+2.26vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.09+1.32vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.62-1.37vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.39-1.77vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.45-2.75vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-3.40vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.35+1.40vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.12-4.43vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.08-2.50vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.74-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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3.81Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
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7.11Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.67Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.26Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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8.32Old Dominion University2.090.1%1st Place
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6.63Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.23Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.25Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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13.4Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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8.57Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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9.55Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 2.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 21.5% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Riley Read | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Sih | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Maks Groom | 4.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 14.9% | 57.5% |
| Will Priebe | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 22.9% | 20.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.