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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.45+6.14vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.62+4.39vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.62+3.54vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.13+4.28vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.82+1.00vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.09+2.51vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+0.55vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.54-4.07vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.39-1.72vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.45-2.70vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.74-1.40vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.27-0.69vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.07-4.23vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.12-5.70vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.35-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.39Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.54Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.28Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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6.0Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.51Old Dominion University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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3.93Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
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7.28Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.3Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.6Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.31University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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8.3Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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13.1Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Mckenna | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Riley Read | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| William Michels | 10.1% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Maks Groom | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 21.3% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 8.8% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 22.9% | 17.4% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| Will Priebe | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.