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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.62+5.51vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.82+3.79vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.45+4.10vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.39+3.33vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.54-1.06vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.27+5.14vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.13+1.25vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.07+0.51vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.09-0.60vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.12-1.57vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.62-4.35vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.45-4.52vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.35+0.30vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.74-4.43vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-7.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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5.79Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.1Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.33Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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3.94Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
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11.14University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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8.25Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.51University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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8.4Old Dominion University2.090.0%1st Place
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8.43Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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6.65Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.48Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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13.3Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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9.57Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| William Michels | 10.1% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Sih | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 21.5% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 21.3% | 16.7% |
| Riley Read | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 3.4% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 2.3% |
| Will Priebe | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.6% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 59.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 6.3% |
| Maks Groom | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.