Race 9C

captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Nathan Sih 7.9% 6.8% 7.8% 7.5% 6.2% 7.9% 8.0% 7.1% 7.8% 6.8% 7.9% 6.4% 6.0% 4.1% 1.8%
Trevor Davis 7.2% 10.0% 9.6% 9.6% 8.4% 7.7% 8.4% 7.1% 7.9% 6.0% 6.2% 5.6% 3.9% 2.0% 0.4%
William Michels 10.5% 10.9% 10.2% 8.9% 9.1% 9.4% 8.6% 8.0% 5.6% 7.1% 4.8% 3.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.0%
Lachlain McGranahan 20.9% 19.4% 12.7% 11.7% 10.4% 7.2% 7.6% 3.7% 2.9% 1.4% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Sam Bonauto 6.9% 7.0% 8.5% 6.8% 7.3% 7.8% 6.2% 7.5% 9.2% 9.3% 6.7% 5.7% 5.9% 3.6% 1.6%
CJ Mckenna 7.0% 6.7% 6.7% 7.3% 7.1% 8.7% 9.0% 9.5% 7.9% 6.5% 6.3% 7.5% 6.1% 3.1% 0.6%
Maks Groom 7.3% 5.5% 6.8% 6.7% 7.4% 6.2% 9.5% 7.0% 6.5% 9.7% 8.0% 6.9% 5.4% 5.5% 1.6%
Andrew Ciszewski 5.2% 4.8% 5.3% 6.8% 5.7% 5.9% 5.6% 8.0% 7.2% 7.9% 8.5% 9.2% 9.3% 7.8% 2.8%
Ben Rosenberg 4.1% 4.6% 5.0% 5.5% 7.4% 7.3% 7.0% 6.2% 8.0% 8.7% 8.6% 8.6% 8.8% 8.1% 2.1%
Riley Read 4.7% 4.1% 6.3% 6.1% 5.9% 6.9% 7.6% 6.4% 8.4% 7.5% 8.8% 9.0% 8.7% 7.0% 2.6%
Nils Tullberg 3.1% 3.5% 4.6% 4.4% 4.9% 3.7% 5.1% 8.2% 6.5% 6.4% 8.4% 8.8% 11.6% 11.3% 9.5%
Will Priebe 4.1% 4.4% 5.3% 6.0% 6.0% 6.7% 6.9% 6.5% 7.3% 8.3% 10.2% 10.1% 7.7% 8.1% 2.4%
Christian Cushman 1.8% 1.6% 2.4% 2.7% 4.2% 3.9% 2.8% 3.5% 4.2% 5.7% 5.8% 8.1% 13.0% 21.6% 18.7%
Stephanie Houck 8.4% 9.7% 7.9% 8.6% 8.7% 9.0% 6.1% 9.0% 8.4% 6.4% 6.3% 5.4% 3.4% 2.2% 0.5%
Nikolas Chambers 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.4% 1.3% 1.7% 1.6% 2.3% 2.2% 2.3% 2.6% 4.9% 7.2% 14.4% 55.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.