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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University4.07+1.92vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.65vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.31+1.44vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65+2.11vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.81-0.28vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.65-0.89vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy1.62+0.45vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.76-3.26vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.98-0.15vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.41-4.33vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.84-6.29vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University0.55-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Boston University4.070.3%1st Place
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5.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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4.44Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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6.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.1%1st Place
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5.72Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.11Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.45Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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5.74Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Vermont0.980.0%1st Place
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6.67Harvard University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.71Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.62Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Greenfield | 27.5% | 24.5% | 17.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Schon | 14.8% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Steven Drapcho | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Hulse | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 18.2% | 20.1% | 11.7% |
| T. Max Bulger | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Chris Mangieri | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 26.5% | 29.0% |
| Ryan Byrne | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 9.1% | 23.1% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.