← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.68+5.61vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.22+7.33vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.38+4.49vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.75vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.02+3.47vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.22+1.46vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.14+4.20vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.78+0.36vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.38-0.44vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.18-5.48vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+1.28vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-2.87vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.07-0.54vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.05-1.31vs Predicted
-
15Yale University2.85-9.18vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University1.97-6.54vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College1.20-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.61Roger Williams University2.689.7%1st Place
-
9.33Brown University2.224.2%1st Place
-
7.49Dartmouth College2.387.2%1st Place
-
7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.3%1st Place
-
8.47Boston College2.025.7%1st Place
-
7.46Tufts University2.226.8%1st Place
-
11.2Boston University1.142.3%1st Place
-
8.36University of Rhode Island2.785.5%1st Place
-
8.56Bowdoin College2.385.1%1st Place
-
4.52Harvard University3.1817.3%1st Place
-
12.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.091.8%1st Place
-
9.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.8%1st Place
-
12.46Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
-
12.69University of Vermont1.051.9%1st Place
-
5.82Yale University2.8511.7%1st Place
-
9.46Roger Williams University1.974.5%1st Place
-
11.4Connecticut College1.202.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mason Stang | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| William Michels | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.3% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 18.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 20.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 22.9% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.