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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+5.49vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.39+5.16vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.82+2.80vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.54-0.11vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.62+1.73vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.45+1.14vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.13+1.22vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.45-0.85vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-1.45vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.35+3.18vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.74-1.41vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.12-3.48vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.07-4.27vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.08-2.51vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.09-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.16Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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5.8Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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3.89Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
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6.73Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.14Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.22Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.15Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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13.18Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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9.59Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.52Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.73University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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8.34Old Dominion University2.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| William Michels | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 20.3% | 18.5% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Riley Read | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Maks Groom | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 14.7% | 54.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 8.3% |
| Will Priebe | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 23.8% | 20.4% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.