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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.39+6.27vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.74+7.35vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.62+3.49vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.13+4.20vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.09+3.47vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54-2.16vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.62-0.49vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.07+0.51vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.12-0.77vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.82-4.01vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.45-3.79vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.45-4.60vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-5.11vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.08-2.44vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.35-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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9.35Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.49Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.2Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.47Old Dominion University2.090.1%1st Place
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3.84Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
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6.51Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.51University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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8.23Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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5.99Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.21Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.4Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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11.56University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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13.08Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Sih | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 5.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Riley Read | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 3.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 20.0% | 19.3% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 10.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Will Priebe | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| William Michels | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Maks Groom | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 24.0% | 21.5% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 15.3% | 53.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.