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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+2.81vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.82+3.70vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.08+8.38vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.39+3.31vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.62+1.63vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.45+1.14vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.07+6.46vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.62-1.40vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.45-1.96vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.74-0.42vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.12-2.69vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.07-3.35vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-5.19vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.13-5.77vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.09-6.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
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5.7Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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7.31Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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6.63Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.14Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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13.46Northwestern University0.070.0%1st Place
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6.6Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.04Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.58Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.31Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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8.23Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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8.35Old Dominion University2.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 21.1% | 21.2% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 27.4% | 17.2% |
| Nathan Sih | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Beretta | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 11.8% | 63.8% |
| Stephanie Houck | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 5.5% |
| Will Priebe | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 2.3% |
| Maks Groom | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Riley Read | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.