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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.38+1.26vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.62+0.03vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.01+0.52vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.12-1.55vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.83-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26University of Washington0.380.3%1st Place
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2.03University of Washington0.620.4%1st Place
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3.52Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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2.45Western Washington University0.120.2%1st Place
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4.75University of Oregon-2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragorn Crozier | 29.9% | 29.6% | 27.3% | 11.3% | 1.9% |
| Erin Pamplin | 38.4% | 30.1% | 22.6% | 8.3% | 0.6% |
| Anna Morrow | 8.1% | 9.4% | 16.3% | 54.6% | 11.6% |
| Niko Twilla | 22.6% | 29.3% | 30.4% | 16.0% | 1.7% |
| ella notdurft | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 9.8% | 84.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.