← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University-1.01+2.54vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.12+0.50vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington0.62-1.02vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington0.38-1.77vs Predicted
-
5University of Oregon-2.83-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.54Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
-
2.5Western Washington University0.120.2%1st Place
-
1.98University of Washington0.620.4%1st Place
-
2.23University of Washington0.380.3%1st Place
-
4.75University of Oregon-2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Morrow | 7.7% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 51.3% | 14.2% |
| Niko Twilla | 21.5% | 27.4% | 31.8% | 17.8% | 1.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 40.4% | 30.1% | 20.8% | 8.3% | 0.4% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 29.6% | 30.9% | 27.6% | 11.0% | 0.9% |
| ella notdurft | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 11.6% | 83.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.