← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.12+1.50vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington0.38+0.22vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington0.62-1.02vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University-1.01-0.45vs Predicted
-
5University of Oregon-2.83-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.5Western Washington University0.120.2%1st Place
-
2.22University of Washington0.380.3%1st Place
-
1.98University of Washington0.620.4%1st Place
-
3.55Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
-
4.75University of Oregon-2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Twilla | 22.8% | 27.2% | 29.7% | 18.1% | 2.2% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 30.2% | 30.2% | 27.9% | 10.8% | 0.9% |
| Erin Pamplin | 40.1% | 30.7% | 20.4% | 8.3% | 0.5% |
| Anna Morrow | 6.1% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 53.2% | 12.3% |
| ella notdurft | 0.8% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 9.6% | 84.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.