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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.38+1.24vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.62-0.01vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.12-0.53vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.01-0.45vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.83-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24University of Washington0.380.3%1st Place
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1.99University of Washington0.620.4%1st Place
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2.47Western Washington University0.120.2%1st Place
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3.55Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Oregon-2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragorn Crozier | 30.9% | 29.6% | 25.2% | 12.8% | 1.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 38.9% | 31.1% | 23.0% | 6.2% | 0.8% |
| Niko Twilla | 23.4% | 27.9% | 29.0% | 18.1% | 1.6% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.9% | 10.0% | 19.1% | 52.7% | 12.3% |
| ella notdurft | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 10.2% | 83.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.