Race 14A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ben Greenfield 28.2% 22.5% 18.3% 11.3% 8.3% 5.5% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Bradley Milliken 6.8% 10.0% 10.1% 9.8% 10.8% 11.4% 10.8% 10.8% 10.2% 5.6% 3.4% 0.3%
Timothy Scanlon 9.9% 7.3% 9.8% 9.2% 10.6% 10.4% 10.6% 13.4% 9.1% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6%
T. Max Bulger 6.8% 8.6% 9.8% 11.0% 10.9% 10.0% 11.4% 9.6% 9.4% 8.4% 3.1% 1.0%
Conor Lodge 8.5% 8.5% 10.0% 10.9% 9.8% 12.8% 10.9% 8.8% 8.1% 7.3% 3.8% 0.6%
Matthew Schon 14.2% 13.9% 13.2% 12.1% 12.8% 11.4% 7.9% 6.8% 4.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Phoebe Sprague 7.6% 8.9% 7.7% 9.7% 10.3% 8.9% 10.9% 11.9% 11.4% 6.4% 4.4% 1.9%
Steven Drapcho 7.7% 9.1% 8.6% 9.5% 8.5% 9.7% 11.1% 10.6% 11.0% 7.9% 5.0% 1.3%
Ryan Byrne 5.2% 5.8% 6.1% 10.6% 9.1% 9.6% 10.6% 11.8% 12.8% 12.3% 5.2% 0.9%
Christopher Hulse 2.9% 2.8% 3.9% 3.7% 4.5% 5.7% 6.8% 7.2% 12.5% 18.3% 20.0% 11.7%
Chris Mangieri 1.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1.4% 2.4% 3.3% 3.5% 4.6% 6.6% 14.1% 28.8% 31.1%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 0.8% 2.0% 1.3% 2.6% 2.9% 4.0% 9.5% 23.2% 50.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.