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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.38+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.62-0.01vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.12-0.53vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-2.83+0.75vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.01-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23University of Washington0.380.3%1st Place
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1.99University of Washington0.620.4%1st Place
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2.47Western Washington University0.120.2%1st Place
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4.75University of Oregon-2.830.0%1st Place
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3.55Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragorn Crozier | 31.3% | 29.4% | 25.0% | 13.3% | 1.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 38.4% | 32.1% | 21.6% | 7.6% | 0.3% |
| Niko Twilla | 23.2% | 25.7% | 33.7% | 16.0% | 1.4% |
| ella notdurft | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 9.6% | 84.6% |
| Anna Morrow | 6.3% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 53.5% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.