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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.09+1.96vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.43+0.31vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.57+0.51vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.00-1.20vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.46-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96University of Washington-0.090.2%1st Place
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2.31Western Washington University0.430.3%1st Place
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3.51Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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2.8University of Washington-0.000.2%1st Place
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3.41University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Smith | 20.0% | 20.1% | 22.0% | 19.3% | 18.6% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 33.2% | 26.8% | 21.5% | 12.6% | 5.9% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 11.3% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 23.9% | 32.5% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 22.2% | 22.6% | 21.2% | 20.7% | 13.3% |
| Emily Avey | 13.3% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 23.5% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.