Race 1B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Willem Sandberg 17.3% 15.6% 15.5% 15.4% 10.9% 9.0% 6.8% 5.0% 2.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Eric Decesar 10.6% 12.8% 12.4% 11.5% 11.7% 9.7% 10.8% 7.8% 7.2% 3.4% 1.8% 0.3%
Martin McDonald 6.5% 6.8% 6.5% 6.7% 7.6% 10.6% 10.9% 11.8% 14.5% 9.8% 6.3% 2.0%
Tevis Nichols 4.5% 5.2% 6.5% 7.8% 8.9% 9.0% 10.2% 12.5% 11.1% 12.4% 8.2% 3.7%
Ben Lamont 6.1% 7.0% 7.4% 8.0% 9.6% 8.8% 12.4% 11.4% 11.7% 7.9% 6.9% 2.8%
William Howard 14.0% 13.1% 13.9% 13.6% 11.3% 10.4% 8.7% 7.4% 3.9% 2.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Ryan White 9.2% 8.7% 9.3% 9.0% 10.7% 10.8% 10.7% 10.4% 9.7% 7.2% 2.8% 1.5%
Sarah Fiske 7.6% 5.7% 8.3% 6.9% 8.6% 10.1% 10.0% 11.4% 11.1% 10.1% 7.3% 2.9%
Matthew Butcka 1.6% 1.7% 1.3% 2.8% 2.6% 4.5% 5.8% 7.3% 9.6% 15.0% 26.2% 21.6%
Daniel Perkins 19.5% 19.1% 16.1% 12.3% 11.2% 9.6% 4.9% 3.5% 2.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Richard Meisenbach 2.6% 2.4% 1.9% 4.4% 4.6% 5.4% 6.2% 8.9% 10.8% 17.0% 19.2% 16.6%
John Fonte 0.5% 1.9% 0.9% 1.6% 2.3% 2.1% 2.6% 2.6% 5.7% 11.3% 19.9% 48.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.