← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.41+1.26vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington-0.05+0.84vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington-1.18+1.58vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-0.60-0.32vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University-0.79-0.98vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington-1.20-1.45vs Predicted
-
7-2.48-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.26Western Washington University0.410.4%1st Place
-
2.84University of Washington-0.050.2%1st Place
-
4.58University of Washington-1.180.1%1st Place
-
3.68University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
-
4.02Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
-
4.55University of Washington-1.200.1%1st Place
-
6.07-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Lovett | 38.5% | 25.5% | 17.3% | 11.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Mira Anders | 22.7% | 25.8% | 19.8% | 15.9% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 6.9% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 21.5% | 24.0% | 12.6% |
| Henry Stier | 12.9% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 3.6% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 9.5% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 7.2% |
| Lauren McClintock | 7.5% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 18.3% | 24.4% | 13.4% |
| Ben Lewis | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.