← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.41+1.27vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington-0.60+1.65vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-0.79+0.93vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-1.18+0.57vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington-0.05-2.09vs Predicted
-
6-2.48+0.21vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington-1.20-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.27Western Washington University0.410.4%1st Place
-
3.65University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
-
3.93Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
-
4.57University of Washington-1.180.1%1st Place
-
2.91University of Washington-0.050.2%1st Place
-
6.21-2.480.0%1st Place
-
4.46University of Washington-1.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Lovett | 39.4% | 25.0% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Henry Stier | 11.5% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 19.7% | 17.9% | 11.3% | 3.9% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 10.0% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 19.3% | 19.0% | 15.4% | 5.8% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 25.5% | 12.5% |
| Mira Anders | 20.9% | 24.4% | 21.7% | 16.9% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Ben Lewis | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 16.4% | 64.7% |
| Lauren McClintock | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 21.2% | 25.0% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.