← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.41+1.24vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington-1.20+2.47vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington-1.12+1.41vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University-0.79-0.09vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington0.25-2.50vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington-1.18-1.55vs Predicted
-
7-2.48-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.24Western Washington University0.410.4%1st Place
-
4.47University of Washington-1.200.1%1st Place
-
4.41University of Washington-1.120.1%1st Place
-
3.91Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
-
2.5University of Washington0.250.3%1st Place
-
4.45University of Washington-1.180.1%1st Place
-
6.01-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Lovett | 36.3% | 29.2% | 16.9% | 11.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Lauren McClintock | 6.9% | 8.0% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 20.9% | 22.2% | 11.1% |
| Sarah Kahle | 7.0% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 20.4% | 21.0% | 10.6% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 10.2% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 20.1% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 6.0% |
| Zackery Martin | 29.5% | 28.6% | 18.8% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 7.9% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 19.9% | 22.1% | 12.1% |
| Ben Lewis | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 16.2% | 59.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.