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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-1.12+3.60vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.01+0.89vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.11+0.08vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.00-1.04vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.60-1.15vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.53-0.68vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.60-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6University of Washington-1.120.1%1st Place
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2.89University of Washington0.010.2%1st Place
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3.08University of Washington-0.110.2%1st Place
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2.96Western Washington University-0.000.2%1st Place
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3.85University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.32Western Washington University-1.530.0%1st Place
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5.3University of Oregon-1.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Kahle | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 21.3% | 17.8% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 24.7% | 22.8% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 21.9% | 19.7% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 23.8% | 21.0% | 20.0% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Svea Hallberg | 11.4% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 18.7% | 13.3% | 7.1% |
| Annelisa Ayars | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 23.2% | 33.8% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 24.9% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.