Race 2B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Daniel Perkins 19.8% 15.3% 16.1% 14.6% 11.7% 8.9% 4.8% 4.3% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Sarah Fiske 5.0% 6.6% 7.4% 7.2% 10.6% 8.4% 11.0% 12.1% 11.4% 12.3% 5.7% 2.3%
Matthew Butcka 2.4% 1.9% 2.1% 2.6% 3.2% 4.0% 5.2% 6.7% 8.4% 14.4% 24.7% 24.4%
Tevis Nichols 4.3% 5.1% 5.5% 9.2% 7.5% 9.5% 10.7% 12.1% 12.4% 11.4% 8.2% 4.1%
Eric Decesar 11.0% 12.3% 11.8% 12.6% 10.5% 10.6% 9.8% 8.6% 6.8% 3.3% 2.2% 0.5%
Ben Lamont 6.2% 7.4% 7.2% 7.3% 8.5% 10.9% 9.9% 12.8% 12.5% 8.8% 7.3% 1.2%
Willem Sandberg 18.2% 17.7% 14.2% 13.1% 11.0% 9.2% 7.0% 5.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Ryan White 9.1% 9.4% 9.1% 8.4% 9.8% 10.5% 11.1% 10.5% 10.1% 6.7% 3.4% 1.9%
William Howard 14.0% 13.8% 16.1% 11.6% 11.9% 10.7% 8.8% 6.6% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Martin McDonald 7.1% 6.6% 6.0% 8.0% 8.8% 9.9% 12.7% 10.4% 10.3% 11.7% 5.9% 2.6%
Richard Meisenbach 2.1% 2.4% 3.4% 3.5% 4.8% 5.5% 5.8% 7.3% 12.0% 17.4% 21.7% 14.1%
John Fonte 0.8% 1.5% 1.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.9% 3.2% 3.4% 6.0% 9.9% 19.7% 48.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.