Race 3B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Daniel Perkins 20.1% 16.5% 15.4% 14.4% 12.1% 7.6% 6.0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Eric Decesar 10.8% 11.9% 11.9% 12.4% 11.4% 11.1% 10.3% 8.6% 6.4% 3.3% 1.7% 0.2%
Sarah Fiske 6.6% 5.6% 6.8% 8.1% 8.2% 9.1% 10.6% 13.2% 12.5% 9.6% 7.6% 2.1%
William Howard 12.4% 13.8% 14.4% 12.3% 12.0% 9.7% 9.3% 7.4% 4.4% 3.6% 0.4% 0.3%
Willem Sandberg 18.7% 17.5% 14.5% 12.4% 11.3% 9.7% 5.5% 4.7% 3.5% 1.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Martin McDonald 5.7% 7.6% 7.0% 6.6% 6.3% 11.2% 12.9% 10.9% 12.0% 11.0% 6.5% 2.3%
Ryan White 8.5% 8.8% 9.0% 8.8% 12.3% 9.4% 11.6% 10.6% 9.4% 6.4% 3.8% 1.4%
Tevis Nichols 6.2% 5.4% 7.8% 7.2% 7.0% 8.9% 10.4% 11.2% 12.1% 12.8% 7.3% 3.7%
Ben Lamont 5.7% 6.8% 7.0% 10.2% 9.7% 12.8% 9.2% 11.9% 10.4% 9.9% 5.3% 1.1%
Matthew Butcka 2.0% 2.1% 2.3% 3.4% 2.9% 2.9% 5.0% 7.1% 9.6% 12.4% 25.9% 24.4%
Richard Meisenbach 2.5% 2.2% 2.9% 3.1% 4.8% 5.0% 6.1% 7.7% 12.6% 17.4% 19.6% 16.1%
John Fonte 0.8% 1.8% 1.0% 1.1% 2.0% 2.6% 3.1% 2.1% 5.0% 11.4% 20.7% 48.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.