Race 4B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Willem Sandberg 17.8% 14.2% 16.5% 14.5% 11.3% 9.8% 5.8% 4.8% 3.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Daniel Perkins 20.2% 19.5% 15.3% 12.9% 10.1% 8.5% 6.6% 4.2% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Ryan White 8.1% 8.3% 8.8% 9.0% 10.1% 10.1% 11.7% 11.3% 11.2% 6.9% 3.4% 1.1%
Matthew Butcka 1.2% 1.7% 2.3% 2.5% 3.3% 4.2% 3.4% 7.5% 11.1% 13.6% 23.8% 25.4%
Tevis Nichols 4.8% 6.5% 6.3% 7.9% 8.2% 8.3% 8.8% 12.5% 12.5% 11.9% 8.9% 3.4%
Eric Decesar 11.9% 10.9% 10.8% 11.9% 12.0% 11.8% 10.8% 7.9% 6.4% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2%
William Howard 15.2% 14.3% 13.5% 11.9% 11.4% 9.0% 9.1% 6.9% 4.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Richard Meisenbach 1.8% 4.4% 3.6% 4.1% 4.0% 5.8% 6.1% 7.9% 11.6% 16.1% 20.6% 14.0%
Martin McDonald 5.0% 6.2% 8.2% 8.5% 9.5% 10.2% 11.0% 13.2% 9.0% 11.5% 5.7% 2.0%
Ben Lamont 6.3% 7.2% 7.6% 7.9% 9.4% 10.8% 12.4% 9.1% 11.4% 9.3% 7.0% 1.6%
John Fonte 1.2% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 1.5% 2.7% 2.8% 3.5% 4.9% 9.5% 20.3% 50.2%
Sarah Fiske 6.5% 5.7% 5.8% 7.9% 9.2% 8.8% 11.5% 11.2% 12.8% 11.2% 7.5% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.