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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.58+5.55vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.48+4.12vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.43+7.57vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.87+7.67vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+3.95vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+3.32vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-2.15vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.59+3.61vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.74-0.08vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.06-2.40vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+0.50vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.42-2.34vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.39-3.69vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.39-7.25vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.09-6.85vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.38-2.67vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.67-7.63vs Predicted
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18University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Boston College2.589.0%1st Place
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6.12Harvard University2.4810.7%1st Place
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10.57Roger Williams University1.434.5%1st Place
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11.67University of Vermont0.872.3%1st Place
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8.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.6%1st Place
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9.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.584.9%1st Place
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4.85Yale University2.4215.3%1st Place
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11.61Northeastern University1.592.7%1st Place
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8.92Brown University1.745.4%1st Place
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7.6Bowdoin College2.067.6%1st Place
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11.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.402.2%1st Place
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9.66University of Rhode Island1.425.1%1st Place
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9.31Boston University1.394.7%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College2.398.7%1st Place
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8.15Roger Williams University2.096.1%1st Place
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13.33Connecticut College0.381.2%1st Place
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9.37Tufts University1.674.8%1st Place
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16.78University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.970.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Busch | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jed Lory | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 1.9% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 3.9% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 15.3% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 3.5% |
| Cam Spriggs | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 3.9% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 23.2% | 10.7% |
| John Eastman | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 10.3% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.