Race 7B

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
William Weinbecker 9.3% 13.6% 9.0% 9.5% 10.6% 10.6% 7.4% 6.5% 6.8% 6.0% 4.6% 3.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Bryan Lawrence 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 2.1% 1.7% 2.2% 1.8% 3.5% 5.0% 4.3% 5.6% 6.1% 10.8% 12.7% 19.7% 20.8%
Richard Gleason 17.3% 13.0% 13.8% 12.4% 11.2% 10.1% 6.7% 5.5% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Dax Thompson 4.7% 6.4% 6.1% 7.1% 7.4% 7.7% 6.7% 9.9% 7.7% 9.6% 6.1% 8.3% 6.2% 3.9% 1.6% 0.6%
Samuel Stephens 1.4% 1.7% 2.3% 1.9% 2.7% 2.5% 3.4% 3.5% 5.7% 5.9% 8.4% 8.3% 11.9% 15.7% 13.7% 11.0%
Madeleine Rice 9.6% 10.8% 11.9% 11.1% 8.9% 8.8% 9.3% 8.3% 5.9% 5.8% 3.3% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Lucija Ruzevic 6.4% 5.9% 5.4% 6.9% 6.4% 6.8% 9.1% 7.9% 8.0% 9.3% 9.2% 7.1% 5.8% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4%
Gannon Troutman 5.2% 7.0% 5.3% 5.7% 8.6% 6.3% 8.4% 7.9% 7.8% 9.6% 9.6% 6.9% 4.8% 4.4% 1.8% 0.7%
Will Foox 16.3% 14.0% 14.4% 11.0% 10.0% 9.9% 6.1% 6.0% 5.3% 2.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1%
J.J. Smith 10.6% 9.7% 11.0% 12.1% 10.8% 9.1% 9.6% 8.4% 6.4% 5.3% 2.5% 2.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Seth Rizika 6.4% 5.2% 6.7% 5.8% 6.9% 7.1% 7.1% 7.8% 8.8% 9.5% 7.6% 8.0% 6.7% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6%
William Davis 3.1% 3.1% 3.8% 3.2% 3.9% 4.5% 6.6% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8% 10.4% 9.4% 9.1% 10.4% 7.8% 4.3%
Liam Harkins 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 1.6% 0.6% 1.0% 1.8% 1.4% 2.5% 3.6% 4.0% 6.0% 7.5% 9.9% 18.3% 39.7%
Max Shapiro 2.2% 1.9% 2.1% 1.6% 2.0% 2.9% 4.7% 4.2% 6.7% 6.2% 8.4% 9.6% 11.3% 12.9% 13.5% 9.8%
Jack Merrill 4.5% 4.3% 4.7% 5.9% 6.0% 7.2% 8.0% 7.6% 8.4% 8.5% 8.9% 8.8% 7.3% 6.1% 3.1% 0.7%
Payton Kliesch 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 3.3% 3.3% 4.8% 3.8% 4.9% 8.2% 9.3% 12.2% 14.4% 16.1% 11.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.