Race 5B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Willem Sandberg 17.7% 16.0% 13.8% 14.0% 11.6% 10.0% 6.8% 5.2% 2.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Ryan White 6.6% 9.1% 10.3% 10.0% 9.2% 9.6% 12.5% 11.0% 10.4% 6.2% 4.1% 1.0%
Daniel Perkins 21.4% 17.6% 14.4% 11.7% 13.0% 8.6% 7.2% 3.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
William Howard 11.7% 15.6% 12.9% 15.0% 10.7% 10.2% 8.8% 6.6% 5.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.4%
Matthew Butcka 1.3% 2.3% 2.5% 2.3% 3.1% 4.4% 5.1% 6.7% 9.7% 12.5% 24.1% 26.0%
Sarah Fiske 6.5% 5.6% 7.0% 6.7% 9.0% 9.9% 10.2% 13.0% 12.3% 11.8% 5.9% 2.1%
Martin McDonald 6.5% 6.1% 8.3% 8.3% 8.3% 10.0% 10.2% 9.9% 12.5% 10.6% 7.1% 2.2%
Eric Decesar 13.0% 11.8% 12.5% 9.8% 11.6% 10.4% 9.5% 10.2% 4.5% 4.1% 2.1% 0.5%
Ben Lamont 5.4% 6.8% 9.0% 9.8% 9.0% 11.3% 10.5% 10.5% 11.4% 9.3% 5.8% 1.2%
Tevis Nichols 6.0% 5.4% 6.4% 7.2% 7.9% 8.4% 9.8% 13.1% 11.0% 13.9% 8.0% 2.9%
Richard Meisenbach 2.8% 2.6% 1.8% 3.9% 4.4% 4.7% 6.8% 7.3% 12.9% 17.2% 20.0% 15.6%
John Fonte 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.3% 2.2% 2.5% 2.6% 3.0% 5.3% 10.6% 21.2% 48.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.