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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.47+1.56vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.47+0.56vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.11-1.11vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.38-0.53vs Predicted
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5American University-0.98-0.83vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.06-2.75vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.68-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Virginia Tech0.470.2%1st Place
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2.56Virginia Tech0.470.2%1st Place
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1.89Christopher Newport University1.110.5%1st Place
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3.47Catholic University of America-0.380.1%1st Place
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4.17American University-0.980.0%1st Place
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3.25William and Mary-0.060.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Pittsburgh-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 22.9% | 31.1% | 21.9% | 16.6% | 6.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 22.9% | 31.1% | 21.9% | 16.6% | 6.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 48.0% | 25.8% | 17.8% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 10.6% | 13.9% | 21.7% | 28.3% | 22.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| John Spiccioli | 4.9% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 20.7% | 41.7% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 12.8% | 19.3% | 22.8% | 23.4% | 18.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Reilly | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 82.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.