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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.11+0.91vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.47+0.51vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.47-0.49vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.38-0.50vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.06-1.88vs Predicted
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6American University-0.98-1.72vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.68-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Christopher Newport University1.110.4%1st Place
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2.51Virginia Tech0.470.3%1st Place
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2.51Virginia Tech0.470.3%1st Place
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3.5Catholic University of America-0.380.1%1st Place
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3.12William and Mary-0.060.1%1st Place
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4.28American University-0.980.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Pittsburgh-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 44.3% | 30.9% | 16.3% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 25.1% | 28.7% | 24.0% | 14.8% | 6.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 25.1% | 28.7% | 24.0% | 14.8% | 6.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 10.6% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 28.7% | 24.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 14.4% | 17.7% | 26.6% | 25.7% | 13.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| John Spiccioli | 5.0% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 19.9% | 42.9% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Reilly | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 10.4% | 81.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.