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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.11+0.93vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.47+0.54vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.47-0.46vs Predicted
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4American University-0.98+0.17vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.06-1.84vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.68-0.34vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-0.38-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93Christopher Newport University1.110.4%1st Place
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2.54Virginia Tech0.470.3%1st Place
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2.54Virginia Tech0.470.3%1st Place
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4.17American University-0.980.1%1st Place
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3.16William and Mary-0.060.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Pittsburgh-2.680.0%1st Place
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3.54Catholic University of America-0.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 43.2% | 31.2% | 17.8% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 25.5% | 27.8% | 22.8% | 16.2% | 6.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 25.5% | 27.8% | 22.8% | 16.2% | 6.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| John Spiccioli | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 19.7% | 43.2% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 13.8% | 18.3% | 24.8% | 25.7% | 15.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Reilly | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 82.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 10.4% | 13.2% | 20.6% | 28.0% | 23.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.