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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.47+1.56vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.11-0.15vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.47-0.44vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.38-0.48vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.06-1.83vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.68-0.33vs Predicted
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7American University-0.98-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Virginia Tech0.470.2%1st Place
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1.85Christopher Newport University1.110.5%1st Place
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2.56Virginia Tech0.470.2%1st Place
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3.52Catholic University of America-0.380.1%1st Place
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3.17William and Mary-0.060.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Pittsburgh-2.680.0%1st Place
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4.23American University-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 23.9% | 28.9% | 23.0% | 16.8% | 6.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 48.3% | 27.4% | 16.6% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 23.9% | 28.9% | 23.0% | 16.8% | 6.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 10.3% | 14.5% | 19.3% | 28.3% | 24.1% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 12.2% | 19.3% | 27.1% | 24.0% | 15.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Reilly | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 82.6% | 0.0% |
| John Spiccioli | 4.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 20.5% | 43.8% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.