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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.11+0.90vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.47+0.50vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.47-0.50vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.06-0.88vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-0.38-1.48vs Predicted
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6American University-0.98-1.73vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.68-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Christopher Newport University1.110.5%1st Place
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2.5Virginia Tech0.470.3%1st Place
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2.5Virginia Tech0.470.3%1st Place
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3.12William and Mary-0.060.1%1st Place
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3.52Catholic University of America-0.380.1%1st Place
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4.27American University-0.980.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Pittsburgh-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 45.1% | 30.1% | 16.4% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 25.6% | 28.2% | 24.5% | 14.6% | 6.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 25.6% | 28.2% | 24.5% | 14.6% | 6.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 14.6% | 18.9% | 24.4% | 25.1% | 15.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 9.3% | 14.3% | 21.3% | 28.2% | 24.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| John Spiccioli | 4.8% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 21.4% | 41.9% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Reilly | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 10.8% | 81.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.