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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.47+1.57vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.38+1.49vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.11-1.14vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.06-0.87vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.47-2.43vs Predicted
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6American University-0.98-1.71vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.68-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Virginia Tech0.470.2%1st Place
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3.49Catholic University of America-0.380.1%1st Place
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1.86Christopher Newport University1.110.5%1st Place
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3.13William and Mary-0.060.1%1st Place
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2.57Virginia Tech0.470.2%1st Place
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4.29American University-0.980.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Pittsburgh-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 22.5% | 30.0% | 23.8% | 16.3% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 9.8% | 16.1% | 19.8% | 28.2% | 22.0% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 48.3% | 26.9% | 16.6% | 6.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 14.0% | 18.1% | 26.9% | 24.5% | 15.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 22.5% | 30.0% | 23.8% | 16.3% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| John Spiccioli | 4.6% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 19.9% | 44.2% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Reilly | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 11.3% | 80.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.