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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.47+1.45vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.47+0.45vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.38+0.30vs Predicted
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4American University-2.12+0.95vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.11-3.21vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.06-2.93vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.68-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Virginia Tech0.470.2%1st Place
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2.45Virginia Tech0.470.2%1st Place
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3.3Catholic University of America-0.380.1%1st Place
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4.95American University-2.120.0%1st Place
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1.79Christopher Newport University1.110.5%1st Place
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3.07William and Mary-0.060.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Pittsburgh-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 24.2% | 30.6% | 24.9% | 16.5% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 24.2% | 30.6% | 24.9% | 16.5% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 10.5% | 16.8% | 23.3% | 33.0% | 14.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Juros | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 46.1% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 48.9% | 29.2% | 16.8% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 13.7% | 18.3% | 28.1% | 29.1% | 9.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Reilly | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 6.9% | 26.3% | 62.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.