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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+1.73vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79-0.02vs Predicted
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3American University-1.07+1.34vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.35-0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-1.09-0.53vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.81-1.96vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.18-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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1.98Christopher Newport University0.790.5%1st Place
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4.34American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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3.44Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Pittsburgh-1.090.1%1st Place
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4.04William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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2.73Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 22.4% | 27.2% | 22.1% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| David Grace | 45.2% | 26.7% | 17.2% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 7.2% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 17.5% | 25.1% | 29.6% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 11.7% | 17.9% | 21.3% | 21.7% | 18.8% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Kearns | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 23.1% | 34.3% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 7.8% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 19.9% | 22.3% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 22.4% | 27.2% | 22.1% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.