Race 6B

bu

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Willem Sandberg 17.5% 15.7% 14.1% 13.1% 13.2% 9.8% 6.4% 5.2% 2.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Sarah Fiske 4.8% 5.7% 7.6% 8.3% 8.7% 10.5% 9.8% 12.7% 12.6% 11.2% 5.8% 2.3%
Richard Meisenbach 3.1% 2.6% 3.2% 3.7% 4.4% 5.0% 5.8% 8.4% 10.9% 19.0% 21.6% 12.3%
Daniel Perkins 18.5% 20.3% 15.5% 12.4% 11.2% 8.9% 6.0% 3.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
William Howard 13.3% 15.3% 12.7% 12.2% 11.7% 10.9% 7.9% 7.2% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.1%
Martin McDonald 5.8% 6.5% 6.8% 8.6% 7.9% 8.4% 12.7% 11.8% 12.7% 9.9% 7.2% 1.7%
Ryan White 9.0% 7.6% 9.5% 10.6% 9.7% 10.6% 10.9% 11.5% 8.8% 6.5% 3.5% 1.8%
Tevis Nichols 6.0% 5.3% 7.0% 7.9% 7.0% 8.3% 10.4% 11.6% 12.5% 11.5% 9.4% 3.1%
Eric Decesar 11.4% 12.4% 13.8% 10.6% 11.8% 12.8% 9.9% 7.2% 6.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Ben Lamont 7.6% 6.0% 6.3% 9.1% 9.0% 9.1% 11.9% 12.0% 12.2% 8.7% 5.7% 2.4%
Matthew Butcka 2.2% 1.5% 1.8% 1.9% 3.3% 3.9% 5.6% 4.6% 8.7% 15.8% 24.7% 26.0%
John Fonte 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 2.7% 4.1% 5.9% 9.1% 18.9% 50.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.