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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+1.73vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.790.00vs Predicted
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3American University-1.07+1.36vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-1.09+0.36vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.81-0.86vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.35-2.58vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.18-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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2.0Christopher Newport University0.790.4%1st Place
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4.36American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.36University of Pittsburgh-1.090.1%1st Place
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4.14William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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3.42Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
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2.73Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 21.9% | 28.4% | 21.6% | 15.5% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| David Grace | 44.7% | 26.2% | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 7.2% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 25.9% | 30.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Kearns | 6.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 18.2% | 24.1% | 30.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 7.3% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 19.7% | 22.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 12.9% | 17.0% | 21.6% | 21.9% | 16.9% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 21.9% | 28.4% | 21.6% | 15.5% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.