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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+1.73vs Predicted
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2University of Pittsburgh-1.09+2.35vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.18-0.27vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.35-0.61vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.81-0.98vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.78-3.90vs Predicted
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7American University-1.07-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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4.35University of Pittsburgh-1.090.1%1st Place
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2.73Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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3.39Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
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4.02William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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2.1Christopher Newport University0.780.4%1st Place
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4.41American University-1.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 22.1% | 28.0% | 21.0% | 16.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Kearns | 6.7% | 8.2% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 21.1% | 32.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 22.1% | 28.0% | 21.0% | 16.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 13.9% | 17.0% | 20.9% | 22.2% | 16.6% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 8.7% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 19.2% | 25.9% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 42.2% | 27.2% | 15.7% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 6.4% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 23.2% | 32.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.