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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.78+1.04vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.18+0.69vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh-1.09+1.37vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.81+0.02vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-0.35-1.51vs Predicted
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6American University-1.07-1.62vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.18-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Christopher Newport University0.780.4%1st Place
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2.69Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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4.37University of Pittsburgh-1.090.1%1st Place
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4.02William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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3.49Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
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4.38American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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2.69Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Hayes | 42.3% | 29.2% | 16.2% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 24.3% | 27.4% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Kearns | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 24.8% | 31.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 8.3% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 20.8% | 24.2% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 12.1% | 16.1% | 22.6% | 20.1% | 17.8% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 5.7% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 21.1% | 32.9% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 24.3% | 27.4% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.