← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University0.79+0.83vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech0.18+0.36vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech0.18-0.64vs Predicted
-
4University of Pittsburgh-1.09-0.23vs Predicted
-
5William and Mary-0.81-1.52vs Predicted
-
6American University-1.07-2.13vs Predicted
-
7Catholic University of America-3.17-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.83Christopher Newport University0.790.5%1st Place
-
2.36Virginia Tech0.180.3%1st Place
-
2.36Virginia Tech0.180.3%1st Place
-
3.77University of Pittsburgh-1.090.1%1st Place
-
3.48William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
-
3.87American University-1.070.1%1st Place
-
5.69Catholic University of America-3.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Grace | 47.7% | 30.5% | 15.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 27.6% | 31.9% | 23.6% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 27.6% | 31.9% | 23.6% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Kearns | 8.4% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 26.9% | 30.7% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 9.4% | 13.3% | 25.7% | 25.7% | 22.8% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 6.3% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 25.8% | 31.4% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Johnson | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 82.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.