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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.79+0.82vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.81+1.44vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.18-0.63vs Predicted
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4American University-1.07-0.23vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.18-2.63vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-1.09-2.08vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-3.17-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82Christopher Newport University0.790.5%1st Place
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3.44William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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2.37Virginia Tech0.180.3%1st Place
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3.77American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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2.37Virginia Tech0.180.3%1st Place
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3.92University of Pittsburgh-1.090.1%1st Place
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5.7Catholic University of America-3.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Grace | 49.2% | 29.4% | 13.8% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 9.5% | 15.7% | 24.5% | 25.7% | 21.2% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 26.8% | 32.1% | 23.1% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 8.3% | 9.7% | 20.6% | 24.1% | 32.9% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 26.8% | 32.1% | 23.1% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Kearns | 5.6% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 25.9% | 32.8% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Johnson | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 8.7% | 83.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.