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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+1.72vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.78+0.02vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh-1.09+1.36vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.18-1.28vs Predicted
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5American University-1.07-0.65vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.81-1.87vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-0.35-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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2.02Christopher Newport University0.780.4%1st Place
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4.36University of Pittsburgh-1.090.1%1st Place
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2.72Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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4.35American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.13William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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3.42Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 22.0% | 28.3% | 21.6% | 15.6% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 44.1% | 26.5% | 17.7% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Kearns | 7.2% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 25.8% | 30.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 22.0% | 28.3% | 21.6% | 15.6% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 6.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 23.7% | 30.3% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 7.4% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 22.3% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 13.1% | 16.8% | 21.4% | 22.1% | 17.0% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.