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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.81+3.04vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.78+0.03vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.18-0.32vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.18-1.32vs Predicted
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5American University-1.07-0.65vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-1.09-1.50vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-0.35-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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2.03Christopher Newport University0.780.4%1st Place
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2.68Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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2.68Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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4.35American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.5University of Pittsburgh-1.090.1%1st Place
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3.41Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Hudson | 8.2% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 18.5% | 23.7% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 43.2% | 28.1% | 15.8% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 23.2% | 27.2% | 21.8% | 16.5% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 23.2% | 27.2% | 21.8% | 16.5% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 6.4% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 25.2% | 29.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Kearns | 5.7% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 23.4% | 35.3% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 13.3% | 17.6% | 19.9% | 22.8% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.