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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+1.73vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.790.00vs Predicted
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3American University-1.07+1.36vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.81+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-1.09-0.52vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.35-2.59vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.18-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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2.0Christopher Newport University0.790.4%1st Place
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4.36American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.01William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Pittsburgh-1.090.1%1st Place
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3.41Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
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2.73Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 21.8% | 27.9% | 21.9% | 16.2% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| David Grace | 44.4% | 26.4% | 18.0% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 7.3% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 24.9% | 30.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 8.1% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 20.3% | 23.2% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Kearns | 5.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 24.1% | 34.3% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 13.0% | 16.6% | 22.1% | 22.0% | 17.1% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 21.8% | 27.9% | 21.9% | 16.2% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.