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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.08+6.16vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.40+7.59vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28+0.72vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.95+3.76vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.52+0.74vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.60-0.44vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.34+2.81vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07-0.96vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.91-1.29vs Predicted
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10Brown University-0.07+1.04vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-3.01vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.21-1.82vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island-0.54-0.67vs Predicted
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14Brown University0.41-4.31vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island-1.91-0.08vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.55-10.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16Brown University1.086.8%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.403.9%1st Place
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3.72Brown University2.2823.3%1st Place
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7.76Roger Williams University0.955.4%1st Place
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5.74Roger Williams University1.529.2%1st Place
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5.56Roger Williams University1.6011.7%1st Place
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9.81University of Rhode Island0.342.7%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.077.4%1st Place
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7.71Roger Williams University0.915.7%1st Place
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11.04Brown University-0.071.5%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.784.6%1st Place
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10.18University of Rhode Island0.212.5%1st Place
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12.33University of Rhode Island-0.541.6%1st Place
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9.69Brown University0.413.0%1st Place
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14.92University of Rhode Island-1.910.2%1st Place
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5.78Roger Williams University1.5510.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Dahiya | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Judge | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Noah Stapleton | 23.3% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| reece schwartz | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Bo Angus | 9.2% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 11.7% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Pierson Falk | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 1.8% |
| David Vinogradov | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Parker Moore | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| William Baker | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 5.7% |
| Joey Richardson | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Lentz | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 2.6% |
| Finneas Coldreck | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 25.6% | 13.5% |
| Gabby Collins | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
| Leo Giard | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 11.8% | 70.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.