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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.06+4.08vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.43+4.50vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.63+0.72vs Predicted
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4University of Miami3.25+0.52vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University0.67+5.16vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.86vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.52-4.12vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.49-2.73vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.41-3.60vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.21-1.86vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.03-2.31vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.57-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.5Dartmouth College2.430.0%1st Place
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3.72Boston University3.630.2%1st Place
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4.52University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
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10.16Brandeis University0.670.0%1st Place
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4.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.2%1st Place
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3.88Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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6.27Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.4Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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9.14Maine Maritime Academy1.210.0%1st Place
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9.69Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Vermont1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Decesar | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Martin McDonald | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Daniel Perkins | 19.9% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Howard | 11.3% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| John Fonte | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 20.4% | 40.7% |
| Hanna Vincent | 17.1% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 17.8% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ben Lamont | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Fiske | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Butcka | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 21.0% | 18.6% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 17.6% | 23.5% | 26.9% |
| Richard Meisenbach | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.