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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+3.85vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.09+5.81vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.58+3.28vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.06+3.41vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+6.29vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.48+0.03vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.39-0.32vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+1.11vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+0.15vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.67-0.99vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.59+0.35vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.95-0.08vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.74-4.35vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.43-3.43vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.42-5.62vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.87-4.51vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.38-3.59vs Predicted
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18University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Yale University2.4215.8%1st Place
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7.81Roger Williams University2.096.7%1st Place
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6.28Boston College2.589.7%1st Place
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7.41Bowdoin College2.068.0%1st Place
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11.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.402.4%1st Place
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6.03Harvard University2.4810.4%1st Place
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6.68Dartmouth College2.399.8%1st Place
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9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.455.2%1st Place
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9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.584.9%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University1.674.5%1st Place
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11.35Northeastern University1.592.3%1st Place
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11.92Boston University0.952.8%1st Place
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8.65Brown University1.745.9%1st Place
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10.57Roger Williams University1.433.2%1st Place
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9.38University of Rhode Island1.424.4%1st Place
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11.49University of Vermont0.872.2%1st Place
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13.41Connecticut College0.381.4%1st Place
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16.59University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.970.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 15.8% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 3.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| John Eastman | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 3.2% |
| Dylan Balunas | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 5.9% |
| Cam Spriggs | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Jed Lory | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 3.9% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 21.4% | 10.2% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 10.6% | 68.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.