Race 8B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Eric Decesar 10.8% 9.5% 11.5% 11.7% 12.3% 12.6% 10.9% 10.0% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3%
Daniel Perkins 18.4% 19.1% 15.3% 14.5% 10.7% 9.1% 6.8% 3.6% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
William Howard 13.7% 12.5% 13.3% 10.5% 12.1% 13.6% 10.8% 7.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Willem Sandberg 16.1% 18.0% 14.2% 14.3% 12.2% 9.9% 7.3% 4.3% 2.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Sarah Fiske 5.4% 6.2% 6.9% 7.7% 9.8% 9.2% 12.6% 12.9% 12.6% 9.8% 5.4% 1.5%
Richard Meisenbach 2.3% 2.8% 3.2% 4.4% 4.5% 5.0% 6.8% 10.9% 14.4% 18.7% 18.1% 8.9%
Hanna Vincent 17.4% 14.1% 14.8% 12.9% 12.1% 11.0% 7.1% 6.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Martin McDonald 6.7% 7.5% 6.2% 7.6% 9.4% 9.6% 12.4% 12.8% 12.5% 9.1% 4.8% 1.4%
Ben Lamont 5.2% 5.7% 8.3% 9.3% 10.1% 12.3% 12.4% 11.9% 11.6% 9.3% 3.3% 0.6%
Matthew Butcka 1.5% 2.4% 3.0% 2.6% 2.6% 3.7% 5.7% 7.6% 14.2% 17.3% 19.9% 19.5%
John Fonte 1.2% 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 3.5% 5.5% 6.1% 13.1% 21.5% 41.9%
Colin Henderson 1.3% 1.3% 2.2% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 3.7% 6.7% 11.4% 15.6% 24.5% 25.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.