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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Embry-Riddle University-1.39+2.05vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.79+0.15vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.81-0.81vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.53-2.16vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-0.88-2.64vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-2.24-1.68vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-3.06-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Embry-Riddle University-1.390.1%1st Place
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3.15Rollins College-0.790.2%1st Place
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3.19Rollins College-0.810.2%1st Place
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2.84Rollins College-0.530.3%1st Place
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3.36University of Florida-0.880.2%1st Place
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5.32Embry-Riddle University-2.240.0%1st Place
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6.08Embry-Riddle University-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Chidester | 12.3% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 20.9% | 18.1% | 7.2% |
| William Ciniski | 19.2% | 20.5% | 20.0% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Jason Goldsmith | 20.0% | 18.3% | 18.9% | 19.2% | 14.9% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Emma Kunz | 25.8% | 21.7% | 19.2% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Marco Distel | 16.5% | 19.7% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 3.1% |
| Justin Folan | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 34.6% | 25.4% |
| Sergio Carli | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 19.2% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.